El Nacional have a mountain to climb if they want to go forward in the Copa Sudamericana after a 2-0 away defeat to Defensa y Justicia two weeks ago. The side played a devastating game and could have suffered a heavier rout. Last Saturday, they drew 3-3 with Delfin at home in spite of having held a 3-0 until the 75th minute. El Nacional earned a single point in two games in the second stage of the Ecuadorian league and also made it eight matches without a win in all competitions, with two draws and six losses.
Defensa y Justicia are near to clinching a ticket for the Copa Sudamericana’s round-of-16 for the first time in history. Following a convincing performance, they beat El Nacional 2-0 at home and will advance to next round even losing by a single goal. Defensa haven’t had any action since then as the league will start in two weeks, but they won their last three competitive games without even conceding. On away turf, El Halcon claimed four victories in the last six matches, losing the other two. I think Defensa y Justicia are much better than El Nacional at the moment and they should not find any difficulties to advance despite the altitude of Quito, where the game will be played.
BET: Defensa y Justicia +0.5 1.85