Analysis from last week
Premier League picks or suggestions 0 from 2
Championship picks or suggestions 1 from 2 (Even Money NAP Ipswich)
League One picks or suggestions 1 from 3 (16 to 5 Rochdale)
League Two picks or suggestions 0 from 2
I can understand if you have already stopped reading. I would urge perseverance though as we are still only a bit behind and the odds of the games are good and we will see a big increase in profit when a double or treble drop in (coupled with bigger money singles). Coventry were a real downer as they were the only team who let us down on the 6 fold for just over £1000. Granted, the price was so high due to Coventry being included.
The Premier League this weekend is on the back of the dreaded Europa League. Backing Spurs at home to Southampton and Everton away to Man Utd is not advised ordinarily but even more so this weekend. Poor value in all Premier League games. The best is Swansea to beat Newcastle at 20/23 with Victor.
The Championship sees Leeds at home in the Yorkshire Derby to Sheffield Wednesday. I am tempted to go with Leeds at even money (Victor) but the Derby edge is steering me away from backing big in it. Charlton to beat Birmingham is enticing at 23/20 (Victor). Charlton have done well at home in their last three games against strong opposition. They are also still unbeaten all season. The thing which is making me a little tentative is that Charlton have only won of the last 6 encounters. Watford to beat Brighton on the other hand at 7/5 (Victor) sees the stats looking very favourable. Brighton scoring just 5 in the last 8 away games at Watford's ground and Watford scoring in 9 out of the last 10 games against Brighton. Watford are flying high and their only defeats this season are to Charlton and Norwich.
League One sees another Yorkshire Derby with Chesterfield against Sheffield United. The Blades seem to be scraping unconvincing wins so even money doesn't seem too sparkling. Having had my fingers burnt with Coventry last week, I will avoid the temptation to get some money back from Coventry against Crawley. You could do worse than back Swindon away to Leyton Orient. Orient have lost their last three at home and Swindon have won the last three. Swindon look like one of the better teams in the division and a mouth watering 9/4 (Skybet) is very tempting. My NAP this week will be Notts County to beat Gillingham. Despite Gillingham being my tip a few weeks ago I fancy Notts County to be victorious. County are unbeaten in 5 games and 13/10 is a glorious price against a Gillingham side that have lost their way. Gillingham have now the unenviable accolade of being the worst team I have seen all season. Barnsley are treading water and their most recent victory came against the aforementioned Gillingham. Rochdale at home at 6/5 (Ladbrokes) must be taken.
After picking quite a few matches that I fancy I am quite relieved to see that League Two is a tough set of games to call. It pitches teams close to each other in the league or the away team much higher up than the home team. These two reasons and enough interest elsewhere let's me stay clear of all League Two games this weekend.
MY BETS
Leeds £25 (Victor Evens)
Charlton £25 (Victor 23/20)
Watford £50 (Victor 7/5)
Swindon £50 (Skybet 9/4)
Notts County £100 (Victor 13/10)
Rochdale £75 (Ladbrokes 6/5)
This is the most confident I have been this week and I fancy a decent return.
If you had just been backing my tips in singles and not accumulators you should be well up. My accumulators have been the difference from being £304.25 in profit to being £70.25 in deficit. Which begs the question “Why do I persist”. The winnings for the bets below would be around £450 from a £50 stake.
Big Stakes of £375 this week with potential returns of around £900. I need 3 from the 6 to get a profitable return. If I don't achieve profit from the accumulators this week then I think I will revert to singles only (I am sure we know what will happen then).
The fourfold Watford, Swindon, Notts County and Rochdale pays 27.3 (Victor) – 1 Fourfold and 4 Trebles £5 each
Notts County and Rochdale double pays 4.95 (Coral) – £25
GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
