27th September 2014

The set backs at the weekend have placed me back in the red by just over £20.  Let's not let it knock us as we are looking for value and only need to capture a few times for it to be happy days.  I still stand by Gillingham being excellent value despite the result.  My Premier League tips were spot on with tipping West Ham at a speculative 4 to 1 and also highlighting potential banana skins for Everton and Tottenham.  As for the other tips, the less said the better.  Mansfield only just managed to hang on and I thought they were going to throw it away at the end.

Let's dust ourselves down and get back on the horse.

The Premier League has been throwing up all sorts of topsy turvy results over the last few weeks and I would avoid this league again this weekend.  Notable mentions are a laughable 4/11 for Man Utd to beat West Ham.  I think the best value is Arsenal at 4/5 (Hills).  Despite Arsenal being knocked out in the league cup and Tottenham progressing, I don't think we can read too much into this.  Both fielded weak teams and looked poor.

After looking at the Championship this week I expect Ipswich to carry on their good form against a team they have a good record against.  Ipswich have won the last 4 against Rotherham and at even money they look a good bet (Bet365).  Rotherham have won only 2 of their 17 meetings.  I don't tend to read too much into ancient historical data but some teams do seem to do better against teams than others.  Villa at Anfield are a team that spring to mind.  Without a win all season Blackpool (9/2 Hills) may be due a win against an out of sorts Norwich.  Blackpool are losing but they aren't getting trounced each week. Saying this they have only had 23 shots all season.  They do fall into the category of a possible bogey team though as they have won 2 of the last 3 and drawn 1.

League one sees the top 2 playing each other and with MK Dons on fine form Draw No Bet at 33/20 (Ladbrokes) offers some value.  It also sees the bottom two pitting wits but this is too tough to call.  I can also see some real good value for Coventry to beat Preston at 12/5 (Victor).  Coventry have a great home record and Preston have a relatively poor away one.  Moving back to the Ricoh has been a positive to fans and has given them an extra lift.  The last 4 games between them have ended in a draw.  Which brings back memories of the Gillingham game where the last 4 of their games had been draws (now 5).  The more conservative gamblers may go for the draw no bet at 7/5 with Victor. Leyton Orient will be managerless against Rochdale this weekend and I would avoid at just better than even money.  Rochdale are good away from home and I would rather back them at 16/5 (Ladbrokes).

League two doesn't fill me with much confidence in many matches.  I wouldn't be tempted with what seems the most obvious, judging by the tables, of Wycombe (11/10 Corals) to beat Cambridge as the away team seem to prefer it away from home. The tie of Morecambe Vs Northampton (one of my outside tips for the title) offers fantastic value.  Morecambe have lost their last two games but these were both away from home.  They have a great home record and I fancy them to beat Northampton at a great 19/10 (Victor).  Again, we are looking at previous results and the last 3 have been drawn.


Ipswich win £100 NAP (Bet365)

Coventry win £50 (Victor)

Morecambe win £50 (Victor)

Doubles and Trebles win at £12.50 each (Treble odds 19.72 Victor)

This type of betting and staking need me to get at least 2 correct to make a profit. However, the profit will be good.   If you want a more conservative bet for still good value you can do Morecambe and Coventry Draw no Bet and Ipswich win for odds of 9.84 (Victor)

Good Luck.  Let's get back in profit