Another week goes by and another loss occurred. NAP's are 13 from 26 and a £159.75 loss last weekend, which depressingly is an improvement on recent weeks. At least we are heading in the right direction. Since I started the blog I have made 185 bets in total, this includes singles and accumulators. In all these bets I have had 69 winning bets and 116 losing bets. This looks grim but I am still £1740.14 in profit. On a singles front I have had 121 bets and 58 winning bets, the majority of these have been even money or better so should yield a return. After looking at these statistics I may look to include some lower prices in my accumulators. I am still looking for value bets and won't be backing anything too short. The recent run of 4 winning singles bets in the last 18 has decimated the profit but hopefully this weekend we will see a change in fortune. Let's take a look at this weekend's up and coming fixtures……
Premier League – I do like backing teams when they have got a new manager, but even I can't bring myself to back Aston Villa, despite their 7/4 (BetFred) price. I think they may just have enough to edge past Stoke in a low scoring encounter. A Man City and Chelsea double pays a ridiculous 1.56 (PaddyPower) so I can't justify touching the singles or doubles. Man Utd are away to Swansea, and both teams are finding it difficult to win with conviction. Man Utd are 21/20 (PaddyPower), but again I think this price is too low, despite Man Utd being the best form team over the last 15 games . Tottenham 5/6 (Ladbrokes) are at home to West Ham on the Sunday and this is the only game that I will be placing money on in The Premiership this weekend. Tottenham are in good form in the league and Harry Kane is on fire. Big Sam is under the cosh and has a few injury worries. I know that Spurs have just played in the Europa League and they don't always perform as well as they should. They have won 4 and Lost 4 after a midweek Europa League game this season, enough justification to not doubt the fact that Spurs should get a victory.
The Championship – The only team I am going to be backing in The Championship are Ipswich NAP 23/20 (William Hill) at home to Reading. Ipswich have won their last two games and Reading have lost them. Reading are a slight bogey team for Ipswich but superstitions can go out of the window and I prefer to be backing the team that boast the best home record in the division. Reading have a few injury worries. Ipswich have got Luke Varney on loan and they will be hoping he can score plenty of goals for them, despite his record not being prolific.
League One – My fingers were badly burnt last week with Oldham, who were my NAP, going down at home to Colchester. This week I will be backing against Colchester again and backing high flying Bristol City 21/20 (Victor) to win away from home. Colchester are the worst team I have seen this season in this division. They have just edged past Gillingham in the dreadful team stakes. They might only just edge it but I fancy Bristol City to take all 3 points.
League Two – So far just one team from each League. Will the unpredictability, but great prices, of League Two offer us any gems? Northampton 5/4 (William Hill) are at home to York and this is the only jewel I have unearthed in this division. York won their last game and Northampton haven't won in 2 but the odds are good enough to take a punt on them getting back on track.
I haven't consciously picked just one team from each league but hopefully the four teams I have picked will be lucrative! It is a very difficult week to find value this week. A lot of teams are odds on as bottom teams play top.
Ipswich £100 – William Hill 23/20
Bristol City £75 – Victor 21/20
Northampton £50 – William Hill 5/4
Tottenham £75 – Ladbrokes 5/6
Ipswich and Bristol City Double £50 (4.31 Victor)
4 trebles at £10 each and a fourfold at £10 (18.12 Victor)
All the best. Good Luck. 🙂