Monthly Archives: May 2016

As the season draws to a close, I am having to look at other markets to bet on. I stumbled across the Italian Serie B League. Italy is well know for suspicious draws at the end of the season and its almost blatant.

Spezia – Ascoli

Both need a point to guarantee playoffs and avoiding relegation respectively. The draw is 1.57 pre kick off . That's crazy.

If you look at the market on Bet365, there are only a handful of things you can bet on. Looking at the odds, a 0-0 is on the cards.

You might think that this is because its Serie B and there aren't many markets but if you pick another game, there are many markets.

Crotone vs Virtus Entella

You can bet on Asian Lines, Corners, Goals, Halves, Player, Specials and 10 minutes. Something is definitely fishy about the Spezia – Ascoli game.

Thats not the only suspicious game in Serie B. It may no be as obvious but the odds on Crotone are suspiciously high.

Looking at the table, Crotone are second with a chance to grab top spot if Cagliari slip up. They are at home to a team that are 8th. You'd expect them to be odds on at least but you can get 3.2 for them. Entella need 3 points to guarantee a play off spot. I smell an away win here. Basically, Crotone are promoted with a slim chance of getting first but unlikely.

We'll see how it all pans out. I am tempted to back the obvious results but something tells me to stay away and just enjoy the spectacle.

The FA Cup Final takes place at Wembley at 5.30pm. Manchester United and Crystal Palace face off for the last chance of silverware in the domestic season. With no silverware to show for his time at United, Van Gaal is under pressure. Even lifting the FA Cup might not save his job but surely he will go if he fails to win this. United blew their chance of top 4 and Champions League by losing to West Ham the other week. They could have theorrtically got in to the top 4 still be needed to beat Bournemouth by 18 goals. That was never going to happen.

For this game, united are strong favourites with Bet365. At 1.75 I think that reflects the way the season has gone. Palace are 5.75 and the draw 3.6. If you want to be on lifting the trophy, united are strong favourites at 1.33 and Palace 3.4.

Palace rested their team last week and got beat 4-1 by Southampton. This is their focus. United played a full strength team against Bournemouth on Tuesday but were not really troubled at all by the visitors.

Finals tend to be low scoring affairs. The most popular scores are 1-0 United at 5.5, 2-0 United, 7 and 1-1 at 6.5. At bet365 if it stays 0-0 they refund correct scores. Remember also that bet365 refund your stakes on correct score bets (as well as Half-Time/Full-Time and Scorecast). The half time full time market is of interest. You can't discount a 0-0 here so having United, say HT/FT gives a bit of insurance if its a 0-0. United HT/FT is 2.75, draw/ Man U is 4.0 and draw/draw is 4.75.

In the first goalscorer market, Anthony Martial and Marcus Rashford both appeal at 9/2 (5.50). Rooney is a 6.00. bet365’s Each-Way First Goalscorers Offer pay unlimited places for each way at 1/3 odds. Might be worth it on the Palace players but the United players are way too short for each way to be worth it. Connor Wickham is 10.0 to score first for Palace.

Whatever you decide to bet on, Bet365 is the place to wager. With the excellent in running console and great odds, there's no need to bet anywhere else this Saturday.

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On a personal level, I'll be backing United. They have been lucky at times this season but they have some quality players. Palace are bottom of the table side which got here with a favourable draw rather than being that good. I'll be on United this Saturday.