Monthly Archives: April 2016

Saturday 16th April 2016

Man Utd (1.25) Draw (7) Aston Villa (17)

Banker of the weekend for sure. Backing against Villa has been an easy way to print money recently. I can't see Villa getting anything from this United haven't been playing great but can grind out results and even surprise on occasions like the midweek 2-1 victory over West Ham. Its just knowing how to play this. At 1.25, its a bit low but should almost be free money. I'd consider the win to nil at 1.75 at Bet Victor. The Asian Handicap is -1.75 which means a loss for 1-0 and only half odds for 2-0 which are the most likely scores.

Newcastle (2.38) Draw (3.5) Swansea (3.4)

Newcastle, even with the Benitez factor can't stop losing. No win in 7 and 6 of those were losses. If Norwich win earlier in the day, they are certainly down. Swansea have been on a little run as of late. With only 1 loss in the last 6 with impressive wins against Chelsea and Arsenal. I'll not say for sure they'll win so I'll go with the Asian Handicap. Its +0.25 at 1.97 at Bet Victor.

Rotherham (2.5) Draw (3.35) Nottingham Forest (3.25)

Since Warnock took over Rotherham, they have been on fire. If you take the last 8 games, they are top of the table. If you take Forests's last 8, the are second from bottom. Only Bolton below them. I can't believe Rotherham are odds against, let alone 2.5. Its 2.5 at Betfair sportsbook.

Sunday 17th April 2016

Leicester (1.95) Draw (3.8) West Ham (4.3)

Two teams I have been backing week in week out recently. Such good value on them both. I think Leicester are still great value. Not conceded in the last 5, winning all of them. Top of the league and deservedly so. West Ham were doing great but had a bad result midweek against a poor Man U side. You could say they were in form and were unlucky to draw to Chelsea and Arsenal but they really should have beaten that Man U side if they are playing good. Its Leicester for me then. 1.95 is generally available.

Saturday 9th April 2016

West Ham (4) Draw (3.8) Arsenal (2.01)

I don't understand the odds here on a logical point of view. West Ham are in great form. With 3 wins and 2 draws out of the last 5, they are pushing for the Europa League if not the Champions League. The two draws were really unlucky too. One due to a late penalty and one due to a red card. Arsenals 2 wins out of 2 give them a slim chance of winning the title but the truth is, they haven't been good enough to win it. This should finally put an end to their title hopes. The decision is to whether to put on the straight win or the handicap? West Ham +0.5 Asian is 1.96 at Bet Victor

Aston Villa (3.62) Draw (3.45) Bournemouth (2.3)

Villa should be opposed every week. 7 straight losses. They are down and out. Last week, they got battered by a Chelsea B side. Bournemouth are mid-table and are going to end there. They were beaten 4-0 and 3-0 last two games but they were against Manchester City and Spurs. Previously, they were on a 3 game winning streak. I think 2.3 at Bet Victor
is a great price. I don't think Villa are good enough to be in the league.

Man City (1.36) Draw (5.5) West Brom (11.5)

Should be a routine win but with half an eye on PSG I'd be weary about this. Same with Liverpool and Dortmund. Best Avoid those games.

Sunday 10th April 2016

Sunderland (3.6) Draw (3.58) Leicester (2.25)

Odds here are unreal. Its a team 4 points in the relegation zone vs a team top of the league by 7 points. If this was Man City or Arsenal, I reckon odds would be no bigger that 1.8, probably closer to 1.6. Sunderland do have a proven goal scorer in Defoe but thats about it. With the tight Leicester defense, I can't see them getting anything. 1-0 is quite likely the score. Thats 7.5 at Bet365 or straight win is 2.25 at Bet365 too.

Tottenham (1.95) Draw (3.68) Man Utd (4.5)

Sours in good form. They dropped points last week but there against a strong Liverpool side. They can't afford to drop any more here. Last week, Man U were awful against Everton and were lucky to win. I don't think they are great this year. Just luckily scraping results. This Spurs side should catch them out. Home win is 1.95 generally available.

A short on this week. I picked out 4 bets which look good.

1) Chelsea to beat Villa -1 Asian at evens at Bet Victor. Villa are down and out. Should be opposed every week.

2) West Ham to beat Crystal Palace. West Ham have a realistic chance of champions league next year. They are in great form. Palace are in freefall in the league. FA Cup seems to be their priority. It's 1.95 at William Hill.

3) Rochdale to beat Doncaster. Its 1st vs 24th in the form table. 1.95 at Bet365 seems great value.

4) Leicester to beat Southampton. Can't believe that Leicester are 2.3. Any of the other top 4-5 teams would be odds on. Southampton still can make the Europa League but unlikely so won't have the motivation. Can see this being another 1-0 win for Leicester.