A much better week last week with 3 out of 4 of the football bets coming in, making it 9 out of 11 NAPS and now a profit of £54.83. It sticks in the throat a bit to realise that had I been placing singles alone I would be an additional £564.52 in profit. £619.35 seems a lot better than just over fifty quid. I have said it before though, it is a high risk strategy but it only needs one good one to drop in and it sees a tidy profit. Arsenal's disappointing performance against Hull has played a pivotal part in the profit and loss column.
Typically the lowest price team were the team to let me down last week. Derby slipping up against Wigan was unexpected. I did spot the potential banana skin of Wycombe and their poor home form. Sadly I didn't spot the same with Derby. This week I aim to make it into double figures with my NAPS and make it 10 out of 12.
The early kick off sees an on fire Newcastle against a very poor Liverpool side. Newcastle or Draw at 17/20 (365) would be my preferred choice over backing Liverpool at a terrible even money (Paddy Power). Arsenal and Chelsea should be comfortable winners but at 1.52 for the double (Victor) I won't be touching it. All the other Saturday games could go either way and I expect them both to be tight affairs. I won't be touching the Premier League this weekend.
The Championship isn't much easier to predict either this weekend. There are no fixtures that immediately jump out in the 3 o'clock kick offs. However, my NAP comes from this league this weekend and it is in the form of Bournemouth to beat Brighton. They are even money with Victor but are as low as 8/11 with BetFred. Bournemouth come of the back of two excellent results and are going for their sixth win on the trot, whilst Brighton are the draw specialists drawing 5 out of the last 6. I think Bournemouth will have too much for Brighton and should be comfortable winners.
League One – Preston are the form team but regular readers of this site will know I am not overly keen on backing away teams, especially as they are against Rochdale, a team who I make an exception to my rule. Rochdale are hit and miss and it is a game I would avoid especially as Preston are only 6/4 (Coral). You could do worse than back Chesterfield at 19/20 (Victor) at home against a very poor Yeovil side. Chesterfield are in freefall though and need to up their game if they are to get a win. New manager syndrome for Port Vale so I won't be having a flutter in their game. Fleetwood are my next pick at 5/6 (Coral). They entertain a terrible Gillingham side who I think will struggle to stay in the division. Fleetwood's from isn't amazing but they have only lost to lower placed teams twice in the last 10 games. I fancy them to be comfortable winners. My third pick is Sheffield United to beat Barnsley at 17/20 (Victor). It is a Yorkshire Derby which makes it a tricky one to call but I think the Blades will have enough to put Barnsley to the sword. Don't be surprised if Sheffield United leave it late again.
League Two – A good indicator of how tough a league is to predict is the price of the home team. If you look at all the home teams this week in League Two they are all odds against. Avoid this league like the plague this week. Good to see my tip for the title, Luton, have turned a corner. I currently have two from four sitting at the top. It would have to be a momumental turn around for Fulham and Man City to get to the top though.
My Bets
£100 Bournemouth to beat Brighton – Evens – Victor
£75 Fleetwood to beat Gillingham – 5/6 – Coral
£50 Sheffield United to beat Barnsley – 17/20 – Victor
One £20 Treble (6.48 Victor) and Three £20 Doubles
Good Luck. Let's hope it is another profitable week. I might stay away from American Football this weekend. Unless my mate Greg Simpson gets in touch with another tip. I glossed over it in the blog as it wasn't a winner. It wasn't a disastrous bet in the end, they just got off to a bad start. Next time gadget, next time. 🙂
